Primeira Liga · 2026

Gil Vicente vs Vitória SC · Primeira Liga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.830.71
Expected goals
1.311.76
Shots
14.219
Possession
53.2%55.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: vitória SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: gil Vicente's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Gil Vicente have a visible home split

weak

Gil Vicente's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.5 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Vitória SC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vitória SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsGil Vicente · Vitória SC19 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGil VicenteVitória SCBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match19 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against9.83 shots/match7.14 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Vitória SC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Vitória SC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.71 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gil Vicente favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Vitória SC in 7 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gil Vicente6 matchesVitória SC7 matches
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/70.71 goals/match
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/71.14 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals6/7▲ 1.76 xG/match
14.2 shots/matchShots6/7▲ 19 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/7▲ 4.71 shots/match
53.2%Possession6/7● 55.7%
3.67 corners/matchCorners6/7● 5.71 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls6/714.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Gil Vicente
1Draws
3Vitória SC
Gil Vicente — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga0–1
Vitória SC — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga0–0
Gil Vicente — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga0–1
Vitória SC — Gil Vicente · Primeira Liga4–0
Gil Vicente — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness44 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Nov 2026, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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