PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2026

Famalicão 1–4 FC Alverca · Primeira Liga

1–4Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Alverca won 1–4.

Shots
1314
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.362.89
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Alverca beat Famalicão 4–1. Recorded in this match (Famalicão – FC Alverca): shots 13–14, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.36–2.89, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Famalicão's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Famalicão's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.75 corners/match ●CornersFamalicão · FC Alverca4.75 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFamalicãoFC AlvercaBaseline
Corners5.75 corners/match4.75 corners/match4.2 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Famalicão have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.3% ●PossessionFamalicão · FC Alverca42.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFamalicãoFC AlvercaBaseline
Possession55.3%42.5%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots14 shotsFamalicão 13 shots, FC Alverca 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsFamalicão 2 shots, FC Alverca 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.36 xG2.89 xGFamalicão 0.36 xG, FC Alverca 2.89 xG
  • Possession65%35%Famalicão 65%, FC Alverca 35%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersFamalicão 8 corners, FC Alverca 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls27 foulsFamalicão 11 fouls, FC Alverca 27 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsFamalicão 3 cards, FC Alverca 2 cards
  • Passes540 passes301 passesFamalicão 540 passes, FC Alverca 301 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.9%79.1%Famalicão 86.9%, FC Alverca 79.1%
  • Shots inside box5 shots10 shotsFamalicão 5 shots, FC Alverca 10 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks3 blocksFamalicão 6 blocks, FC Alverca 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save1 saveFamalicão 1 save, FC Alverca 1 save
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesFamalicão 2 offsides, FC Alverca 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 11′Pedro BondoYellow card · Famalicão
  2. 13′Victor RofinoYellow card · Famalicão
  3. 14′ChiquinhoGoal · FC Alverca
  4. 34′Francisco ChissumbaYellow card · FC Alverca
  5. 37′Mathias De AmorimYellow card · Famalicão
  6. 39′Victor RofinoGoal · Famalicão
  7. 45′Diogo SpencerYellow card · FC Alverca
  8. Half-time
  9. 56′FigueiredoGoal · FC Alverca
  10. 77′VivaldoGoal · FC Alverca
  11. 85′André VidigalPenalty goal · FC Alverca
  12. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 20′Famalicão · 1 player changeLéo Realpe
  • 65′Famalicão · 3 player changesTom Van De Looi · Pedro Santos · Patricio Salas
  • 66′FC Alverca · 2 player changesZé Rafael · André Vidigal
  • 74′FC Alverca · 2 player changesVivaldo · Matheus França
  • 78′Famalicão · 1 player changeUmar Abubakar
  • 80′FC Alverca · 1 player changeMofe Jemide

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Famalicão4-2-3-1
  1. Lazar CarevićG
  2. Victor RofinoD
  3. Rodrigo PinheiroD
  4. Pedro BondoD
  5. Matheus MattaraD
  6. Marcos PeñaM
  7. Mathias De AmorimM
  8. Tamás SzűcsM
  9. SorrisoF
  10. Gil DiasF
  11. Georgios KoutsiasF

Substitutes

  • Ivan Zlobin
  • Gabriel Cabral
  • Gustavo García
  • Léo Realpe
  • Vojin Serafimović
  • Tom Van De Looi
  • Paulo Moreira
  • Mathis Jangeal
  • Umar Abubakar
  • Pedro Santos
  • Patricio Salas
FC Alverca3-4-3
  1. Matheus MendesG
  2. Isaac JamesD
  3. Steven BaseyaD
  4. Diogo SpencerD
  5. Sergi GómezD
  6. Francisco ChissumbaD
  7. Davy GuiM
  8. Rayan LucasM
  9. ChiquinhoF
  10. Dawda CamaraF
  11. FigueiredoF

Substitutes

  • Jhonatan
  • Yaya Bojang
  • Mofe Jemide
  • Vasco Moreira
  • Zé Rafael
  • Nabil Touaizi
  • André Vidigal
  • Vivaldo
  • Cédric Nuozzi
  • Samy Jr Merheg
  • Matheus França
  • Toni Tamarit

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Famalicão
0Draws
1FC Alverca
Famalicão — FC Alverca · Primeira Liga1–0
FC Alverca — Famalicão · Primeira Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Famalicão favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · FC Alverca in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Famalicão8 matchesFC Alverca8 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.63 goals/match
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.5 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.58 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 12.1 shots/match
3.25 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 4.13 shots/match
55.3% ●Possession8/842.5%
5.75 corners/match ●Corners8/84.75 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls8/814.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 12 Oct 2026, 23:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFamalicãoFC Alverca
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Head-to-headFamalicão — FC Alverca
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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