Primeira Liga · 2026

Rio Ave vs Famalicão · Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

LLDLW
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
11.25
Expected goals
0.680.91
Shots
7.6310
Possession
44.6%55.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: famalicão's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: rio Ave's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Rio Ave have a visible home split

weak

Rio Ave's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season7.63 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match7.63 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Famalicão's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Famalicão's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rio Ave show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Rio Ave's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

7.63 shots/match ▲ShotsRio Ave · Famalicão10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRio AveFamalicãoBaseline
Shots7.63 shots/match10 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against16.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rio Ave favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Famalicão in 11 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rio Ave8 matchesFamalicão8 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.25 goals/match
2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.38 goals/match
0.68 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 0.91 xG/match
7.63 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 10 shots/match
3.13 shots/matchShots on target8/83.25 shots/match
44.6%Possession8/8● 55.3%
3.75 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.75 corners/match
8.88 fouls/matchFouls8/811.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Rio Ave
3Draws
2Famalicão
Rio Ave — Famalicão · Primeira Liga0–0
Famalicão — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga0–0
Famalicão — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga1–0
Rio Ave — Famalicão · Primeira Liga1–1
Famalicão — Rio Ave · Primeira Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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