Primeira Liga · 2026

CD Nacional vs Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.131.14
Expected goals
1.161.29
Shots
10.912.9
Possession
50%58.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: CD Nacional's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: sporting Braga have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

CD Nacional have a visible home split

weak

CD Nacional's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

CD Nacional show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

CD Nacional's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsCD Nacional · Sporting Braga12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCD NacionalSporting BragaBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match8.71 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Sporting Braga have recorded the higher season possession share.

50%PossessionCD Nacional · Sporting Braga● 58.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCD NacionalSporting BragaBaseline
Possession50%58.3%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CD Nacional favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Sporting Braga in 11 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CD Nacional8 matchesSporting Braga7 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/71.14 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed8/7▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals8/7▲ 1.29 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots8/7▲ 12.9 shots/match
3.13 shots/matchShots on target8/7▲ 4.29 shots/match
50%Possession8/7● 58.3%
4.38 corners/match ●Corners8/74.14 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls8/713.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1CD Nacional
0Draws
4Sporting Braga
CD Nacional — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga1–2
Sporting Braga — CD Nacional · Taca de Portugal4–2
Sporting Braga — CD Nacional · Primeira Liga0–1
Sporting Braga — CD Nacional · Primeira Liga1–0
CD Nacional — Sporting Braga · Primeira Liga0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness16 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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