PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2026

FC Alverca vs FC Arouca · Primeira Liga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.291.43
Expected goals
1.41.24
Shots
11.910.9
Possession
43.6%50.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: FC Arouca's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: FC Arouca's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

FC Arouca's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Arouca's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.43 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Arouca have a visible away split

weak

FC Arouca's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.75 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Alverca favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · FC Arouca in 5 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Alverca7 matchesFC Arouca7 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 1 goal/match
1.4 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.24 xG/match
11.9 shots/match ▲Shots7/710.9 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target7/73.86 shots/match
43.6%Possession7/7● 50.6%
5 corners/match ●Corners7/72.86 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls7/710.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Alverca
0Draws
1FC Arouca
FC Alverca — FC Arouca · Primeira Liga2–1
FC Arouca — FC Alverca · Primeira Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AlvercaFC Arouca
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Head-to-headFC Alverca — FC Arouca
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required