PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
31
Expected goals
2.081.4
Shots
1911.3
Possession
53.3%34.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: FC Schalke 04's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

FC Schalke 04 show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Schalke 04's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Freiburg · FC Schalke 0411.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC FreiburgFC Schalke 04Baseline
Shots19 shots/match11.3 shots/match14.9 shots/match
Shots against9.5 shots/match20 shots/match16.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

SC Freiburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.3% ●PossessionSC Freiburg · FC Schalke 0434.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSC FreiburgFC Schalke 04Baseline
Possession53.3%34.7%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Freiburg favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · FC Schalke 04 in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Freiburg4 matchesFC Schalke 043 matches
3 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/31 goal/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/31.33 goals/match
2.08 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/31.4 xG/match
19 shots/match ▲Shots4/311.3 shots/match
6.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/35.33 shots/match
53.3% ●Possession4/334.7%
5.25 corners/match ●Corners4/32.67 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls4/37 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2SC Freiburg
0Draws
0FC Schalke 04
SC Freiburg — FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga4–0
FC Schalke 04 — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 3last-five windows
Freshness30 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC FreiburgFC Schalke 04
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-headSC Freiburg — FC Schalke 04
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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