PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2026

SK Beveren vs Lommel SK · Belgian Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.171
Expected goals
1.181.02
Shots
11.310.3
Possession
48.3%44.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: SK Beveren's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. No second reading clears the same sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

SK Beveren show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SK Beveren's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsSK Beveren · Lommel SK10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSK BeverenLommel SKBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match10.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match22 shots/match14.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SK Beveren favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Lommel SK in 2 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SK Beveren6 matchesLommel SK6 matches
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61 goal/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.18 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.02 xG/match
11.3 shots/match ▲Shots6/610.3 shots/match
3.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/62.83 shots/match
48.3% ●Possession6/644.5%
4.5 corners/match ●Corners6/63.17 corners/match
9 fouls/matchFouls6/66.67 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SK Beveren
1Draws
0Lommel SK
SK Beveren — Lommel SK · Challenger Pro League2–0
Lommel SK — SK Beveren · Challenger Pro League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness27 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSK BeverenLommel SK
CompetitionBelgian Pro League
Head-to-headSK Beveren — Lommel SK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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