PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2026

KVC Westerlo vs SK Beveren · Belgian Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.51
Expected goals
1.571.03
Shots
1510.5
Possession
50.8%51.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: KVC Westerlo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

KVC Westerlo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

KVC Westerlo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.4 goals/match2.5 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KVC Westerlo favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · SK Beveren in 3 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KVC Westerlo8 matchesSK Beveren8 matches
2.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81 goal/match
2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.75 goals/match
1.57 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.03 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots8/810.5 shots/match
5.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.25 shots/match
50.8%Possession8/8● 51.1%
3.5 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.38 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls8/88.63 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness15 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKVC WesterloSK Beveren
CompetitionBelgian Pro League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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