PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2026

Cercle Brugge 1–2 RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

RSC Anderlecht won 1–2.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
0.660.83
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

RSC Anderlecht beat Cercle Brugge 2–1. Recorded in this match (Cercle Brugge – RSC Anderlecht): shots 13–11, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 0.66–0.83, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.5 corners/match ●CornersCercle Brugge · RSC Anderlecht6.75 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricCercle BruggeRSC AnderlechtBaseline
Corners7.5 corners/match6.75 corners/match5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Cercle Brugge's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cercle Brugge's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

RSC Anderlecht have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.9%PossessionCercle Brugge · RSC Anderlecht● 61.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCercle BruggeRSC AnderlechtBaseline
Possession43.9%61.6%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsCercle Brugge 13 shots, RSC Anderlecht 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsCercle Brugge 7 shots, RSC Anderlecht 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.66 xG0.83 xGCercle Brugge 0.66 xG, RSC Anderlecht 0.83 xG
  • Possession35%65%Cercle Brugge 35%, RSC Anderlecht 65%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersCercle Brugge 5 corners, RSC Anderlecht 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls14 foulsCercle Brugge 10 fouls, RSC Anderlecht 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsCercle Brugge 1 card, RSC Anderlecht 2 cards
  • Passes344 passes659 passesCercle Brugge 344 passes, RSC Anderlecht 659 passes
  • Pass accuracy78.2%86.5%Cercle Brugge 78.2%, RSC Anderlecht 86.5%
  • Shots inside box11 shots5 shotsCercle Brugge 11 shots, RSC Anderlecht 5 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks1 blockCercle Brugge 2 blocks, RSC Anderlecht 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves6 savesCercle Brugge 4 saves, RSC Anderlecht 6 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideCercle Brugge 2 offsides, RSC Anderlecht 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 4′Steve NgouraYellow card · Cercle Brugge
  2. 11′Abdoulie MannehGoal · Cercle Brugge
  3. Half-time
  4. 86′Tawfik BentayebGoal · RSC Anderlecht
  5. 89′Kaïs BarryYellow card · RSC Anderlecht
  6. 90′Oliver AntmanYellow card · RSC Anderlecht
  7. 90′Adriano BertacciniGoal · RSC Anderlecht
  8. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′RSC Anderlecht · 2 player changesMihajlo Cvetković · Oliver Antman
  • 59′Cercle Brugge · 1 player changeDante Vanzeir
  • 59′RSC Anderlecht · 1 player changeMario Stroeykens
  • 59′Cercle Brugge · 1 player changeViggo Martens
  • 66′RSC Anderlecht · 1 player changeAdriano Bertaccini
  • 71′Cercle Brugge · 2 player changesAbdoul Kader Ouattara · Lukas Mondele
  • 78′RSC Anderlecht · 1 player changeThelo Aasgaard
  • 80′Cercle Brugge · 1 player changeKrys Kouassi

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Cercle Brugge
  1. Gaëtan CouckeG
  2. Emmanuel KakouD
  3. Charles HerrmannD
  4. Valy KonatéD
  5. Gary MagneeD
  6. Geoffrey KondoD
  7. Luke Le RouxM
  8. Hannes Van Der BruggenM
  9. Steve NgouraF
  10. Abdoulie MannehF
  11. Tunde AkinsolaF
RSC Anderlecht
  1. Colin CoosemansG
  2. Ludwig AugustinssonD
  3. Léo PétrotD
  4. Kaïs BarryD
  5. Ali MaamarD
  6. Marten WinklerM
  7. Lukáš AmbrosM
  8. Ilias KoutsoupiasM
  9. Marco KanaM
  10. Danylo SikanF
  11. Tawfik BentayebF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cercle Brugge
1Draws
3RSC Anderlecht
RSC Anderlecht — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League2–3
Cercle Brugge — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League0–2
RSC Anderlecht — Cercle Brugge · Belgian Pro League3–0
Cercle Brugge — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League0–5
Cercle Brugge — RSC Anderlecht · Belgian Pro League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cercle Brugge favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · RSC Anderlecht in 9 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cercle Brugge8 matchesRSC Anderlecht8 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.13 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.75 goals/match
1.56 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.5 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 15.8 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5.13 shots/match
43.9%Possession8/8● 61.6%
7.5 corners/match ●Corners8/86.75 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls8/813 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCercle BruggeRSC Anderlecht
CompetitionBelgian Pro League
Head-to-headCercle Brugge — RSC Anderlecht
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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