PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2026

SV Zulte Waregem 0–2 KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League

0–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

KAA Gent won 0–2.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.751.5
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

KAA Gent beat SV Zulte Waregem 2–0. Recorded in this match (SV Zulte Waregem – KAA Gent): shots 13–12, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.75–1.5, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SV Zulte Waregem's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SV Zulte Waregem's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SV Zulte Waregem show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SV Zulte Waregem's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsSV Zulte Waregem · KAA Gent12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSV Zulte WaregemKAA GentBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match10.6 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsSV Zulte Waregem 13 shots, KAA Gent 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsSV Zulte Waregem 3 shots, KAA Gent 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.75 xG1.5 xGSV Zulte Waregem 0.75 xG, KAA Gent 1.5 xG
  • Possession47%53%SV Zulte Waregem 47%, KAA Gent 53%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersSV Zulte Waregem 3 corners, KAA Gent 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsSV Zulte Waregem 10 fouls, KAA Gent 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardSV Zulte Waregem 0 cards, KAA Gent 1 card
  • Passes453 passes523 passesSV Zulte Waregem 453 passes, KAA Gent 523 passes
  • Pass accuracy84.3%85.7%SV Zulte Waregem 84.3%, KAA Gent 85.7%
  • Shots inside box8 shots7 shotsSV Zulte Waregem 8 shots, KAA Gent 7 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks4 blocksSV Zulte Waregem 7 blocks, KAA Gent 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves4 savesSV Zulte Waregem 5 saves, KAA Gent 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside3 offsidesSV Zulte Waregem 1 offside, KAA Gent 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 12′Ibrahima CisseGoal · KAA Gent
  2. Half-time
  3. 74′Malick MbayeRed card · SV Zulte Waregem
  4. 89′Aimé OmgbaYellow card · KAA Gent
  5. 90′Michel Ange BalikwishaGoal · KAA Gent
  6. Full time
Player changes · 7grouped by team and minute
  • 62′KAA Gent · 2 player changesMax Dean · Matties Volckaert
  • 66′SV Zulte Waregem · 1 player changeIstván Átrok
  • 69′KAA Gent · 1 player changeTibe De Vlieger
  • 78′SV Zulte Waregem · 1 player changeSerxho Ujka
  • 87′KAA Gent · 2 player changesEl Hadji Seck · Aimé Omgba

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

SV Zulte Waregem
  1. Brent GabrielG
  2. Laurent LemoineD
  3. Jakob KiilerichD
  4. Salim DiakitéD
  5. Yannick CappelleD
  6. Enrique LofolomoM
  7. Thomas ClaesM
  8. Marley AkéM
  9. Malick MbayeF
  10. Anosike EmentaF
  11. Tobias HedlF
KAA Gent
  1. Davy RoefG
  2. Maksim PaskotsiD
  3. Christian BurgessD
  4. Tiago AraújoD
  5. Siebe Van der HeydenD
  6. Hyllarion GooreD
  7. Mathias DelorgeM
  8. Leonardo LopesM
  9. Michel Ange BalikwishaF
  10. Momodou SonkoF
  11. Ibrahima CisseF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SV Zulte Waregem
0Draws
4KAA Gent
KAA Gent — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League2–0
SV Zulte Waregem — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League4–1
SV Zulte Waregem — KAA Gent · Belgian Pro League2–6
KAA Gent — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League2–0
KAA Gent — SV Zulte Waregem · Belgian Pro League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Zulte Waregem favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · KAA Gent in 9 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Zulte Waregem8 matchesKAA Gent8 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.88 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.5 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.2 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots8/812.4 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5.13 shots/match
42.3%Possession8/8● 46.5%
4.63 corners/match ●Corners8/84.5 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls8/810.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Zulte WaregemKAA Gent
CompetitionBelgian Pro League
Head-to-headSV Zulte Waregem — KAA Gent
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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