Belgian Pro League · 2026

KRC Genk vs KV Kortrijk · Belgian Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.170.17
Expected goals
1.750.78
Shots
13.310.3
Possession
54%46.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 3 to KRC Genk, 0 drawn, 2 to KV Kortrijk. From this fixture's own record: KV Kortrijk's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

KRC Genk have a visible home split

weak

KRC Genk's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

KV Kortrijk's recent record differs from the season

weak

KV Kortrijk's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.17 goals/match1.75 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

KV Kortrijk show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

KV Kortrijk's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsKRC Genk · KV Kortrijk10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKRC GenkKV KortrijkBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match10.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match15.8 shots/match14.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KRC Genk favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · KV Kortrijk in 1

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KRC Genk6 matchesKV Kortrijk6 matches
2.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.17 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62.5 goals/match
1.75 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/60.78 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots6/610.3 shots/match
5.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/62.67 shots/match
54% ●Possession6/646.7%
4 corners/match ●Corners6/63.67 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls6/611 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3KRC Genk
0Draws
2KV Kortrijk
KRC Genk — KV Kortrijk · Belgian Pro League3–2
KV Kortrijk — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League2–1
KRC Genk — KV Kortrijk · Belgian Pro League4–0
KV Kortrijk — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League0–3
KV Kortrijk — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness27 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

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