PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2026

KRC Genk vs Standard Liège · Belgian Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
21.63
Expected goals
1.781.75
Shots
1414.3
Possession
53.3%52.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: standard Liège's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: standard Liège's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Standard Liège's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Standard Liège's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Standard Liège have a visible away split

weak

Standard Liège's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match14.3 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KRC Genk favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Standard Liège in 3 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KRC Genk8 matchesStandard Liège8 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.63 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.63 goals/match
1.78 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.75 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots8/814.3 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target8/85 shots/match
53.3% ●Possession8/852.1%
4 corners/matchCorners8/8● 6.13 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls8/810.1 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1KRC Genk
2Draws
2Standard Liège
Standard Liège — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League0–0
KRC Genk — Standard Liège · Belgian Pro League1–1
KRC Genk — Standard Liège · Belgian Pro League0–3
Standard Liège — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League2–1
Standard Liège — KRC Genk · Belgian Pro League1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness13 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKRC GenkStandard Liège
CompetitionBelgian Pro League
Head-to-headKRC Genk — Standard Liège
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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