Belgian Pro League · 2026

KV Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.290.71
Expected goals
0.991.22
Shots
11.711.7
Possession
46.1%49%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: KV Mechelen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: KV Kortrijk's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

KV Mechelen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

KV Mechelen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.71 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

KV Kortrijk have a visible home split

weak

KV Kortrijk's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match11.7 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KV Kortrijk favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · KV Mechelen in 8 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KV Kortrijk7 matchesKV Mechelen7 matches
0.29 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 0.71 goals/match
2.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 2 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.22 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots7/711.7 shots/match
2.86 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 3.14 shots/match
46.1%Possession7/7● 49%
3.43 corners/matchCorners7/7● 5 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls7/712.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1KV Kortrijk
0Draws
4KV Mechelen
KV Kortrijk — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League3–1
KV Mechelen — KV Kortrijk · Belgian Pro League3–0
KV Mechelen — KV Kortrijk · Belgian Pro League3–0
KV Kortrijk — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League0–3
KV Mechelen — KV Kortrijk · Belgian Pro League3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness34 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

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