Belgian Pro League · 2026

KV Mechelen vs Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.712
Expected goals
1.221.9
Shots
11.717.3
Possession
49%56%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: KV Mechelen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: sint-Truidense VV's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

KV Mechelen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

KV Mechelen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.71 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sint-Truidense VV have a visible away split

weak

Sint-Truidense VV's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season17.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match17.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Sint-Truidense VV show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Sint-Truidense VV's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsKV Mechelen · Sint-Truidense VV17.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKV MechelenSint-Truidense VVBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match17.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match14.3 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KV Mechelen favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Sint-Truidense VV in 9 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KV Mechelen7 matchesSint-Truidense VV6 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/6▲ 2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed7/6▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals7/6▲ 1.9 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots7/6▲ 17.3 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on target7/6▲ 4.5 shots/match
49%Possession7/6● 56%
5 corners/match ●Corners7/64.83 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls7/610 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0KV Mechelen
1Draws
4Sint-Truidense VV
Sint-Truidense VV — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League3–0
KV Mechelen — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League1–4
Sint-Truidense VV — KV Mechelen · Belgian Pro League1–0
KV Mechelen — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League1–3
KV Mechelen — Sint-Truidense VV · Belgian Pro League1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness27 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

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