PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2026

KVC Westerlo 5–1 Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League

5–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

KVC Westerlo won 5–1.

Shots
1413
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.430.91
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

KVC Westerlo beat Royal Antwerp FC 5–1. Recorded in this match (KVC Westerlo – Royal Antwerp FC): shots 14–13, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.43–0.91, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Royal Antwerp FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Royal Antwerp FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.4 fouls/matchFoulsKVC Westerlo · Royal Antwerp FC14.3 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricKVC WesterloRoyal Antwerp FCBaseline
Fouls13.4 fouls/match14.3 fouls/match11.4 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

KVC Westerlo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

KVC Westerlo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsKVC Westerlo · Royal Antwerp FC14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKVC WesterloRoyal Antwerp FCBaseline
Shots15 shots/match14.9 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match16.8 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots13 shotsKVC Westerlo 14 shots, Royal Antwerp FC 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsKVC Westerlo 6 shots, Royal Antwerp FC 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.43 xG0.91 xGKVC Westerlo 2.43 xG, Royal Antwerp FC 0.91 xG
  • Possession57%43%KVC Westerlo 57%, Royal Antwerp FC 43%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersKVC Westerlo 3 corners, Royal Antwerp FC 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls11 foulsKVC Westerlo 17 fouls, Royal Antwerp FC 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsKVC Westerlo 2 cards, Royal Antwerp FC 3 cards
  • Passes517 passes388 passesKVC Westerlo 517 passes, Royal Antwerp FC 388 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.5%85.8%KVC Westerlo 85.5%, Royal Antwerp FC 85.8%
  • Shots inside box11 shots8 shotsKVC Westerlo 11 shots, Royal Antwerp FC 8 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks1 blockKVC Westerlo 4 blocks, Royal Antwerp FC 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves1 saveKVC Westerlo 2 saves, Royal Antwerp FC 1 save
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesKVC Westerlo 1 offside, Royal Antwerp FC 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 22′Ibrahim SalahGoal · Royal Antwerp FC
  2. 26′Thomas Van den KeybusYellow card · KVC Westerlo
  3. 45′Cisse SandraGoal · KVC Westerlo
  4. Half-time
  5. 51′Mauricio BenitezRed card · Royal Antwerp FC
  6. 56′Isa SakamotoYellow card · KVC Westerlo
  7. 60′Norman BassetteGoal · KVC Westerlo
  8. 72′Felix TsimbaGoal · KVC Westerlo
  9. 75′Christopher ScottYellow card · Royal Antwerp FC
  10. 77′Snayder PorozoYellow card · Royal Antwerp FC
  11. 87′Álvaro CortésYellow card · Royal Antwerp FC
  12. 88′Lasse FløGoal · KVC Westerlo
  13. 90′Yang Min-hyeokGoal · KVC Westerlo
  14. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′KVC Westerlo · 1 player changeFelix Tsimba
  • 57′Royal Antwerp FC · 1 player changeSnayder Porozo
  • 65′Royal Antwerp FC · 2 player changesModibo Fofana · Christopher Scott
  • 73′KVC Westerlo · 1 player changeReda Laalaoui
  • 84′Royal Antwerp FC · 1 player changeYuto Tsunashima
  • 85′KVC Westerlo · 1 player changeNaoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni
  • 85′Royal Antwerp FC · 1 player changeLuis Narh
  • 85′KVC Westerlo · 1 player changeYang Min-hyeok
  • 89′KVC Westerlo · 1 player changePape Diong

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

KVC Westerlo4-2-3-1
  1. Andreas JungdalG
  2. Lasse FløD
  3. Amando LapageD
  4. Seiji KimuraD
  5. Dylan OuregaD
  6. Isa SakamotoM
  7. Thomas Van den KeybusM
  8. Ibrahim FofanaM
  9. Shunsuke SaitoF
  10. Norman BassetteF
  11. Cisse SandraF

Substitutes

  • Bill Lathouwers
  • Lucas Mbamba
  • Botond Balogh
  • Reda Laalaoui
  • Pape Diong
  • Naoufal Bohamdi-Kamoni
  • David Amegnaglo
  • Felix Tsimba
  • Yang Min-hyeok
Royal Antwerp FC4-4-2
  1. Taishi Brandon NozawaG
  2. Álvaro CortésD
  3. Daam FoulonD
  4. Semm RendersD
  5. Rein Van HeldenD
  6. Mauricio BenitezM
  7. Xander DierckxM
  8. Thibo SomersM
  9. Arthur VermeerenM
  10. Ibrahim SalahF
  11. Michael FreyF

Substitutes

  • Niels Devalckeneer
  • Luca Schelfhout
  • Maxime Busi
  • Yuto Tsunashima
  • Christopher Scott
  • Farouck Adekami
  • Modibo Fofana
  • Snayder Porozo
  • Luis Narh

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2KVC Westerlo
0Draws
3Royal Antwerp FC
Royal Antwerp FC — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League2–0
KVC Westerlo — Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League2–4
Royal Antwerp FC — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League0–2
KVC Westerlo — Royal Antwerp FC · Belgian Pro League2–0
Royal Antwerp FC — KVC Westerlo · Belgian Pro League3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: KVC Westerlo favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Royal Antwerp FC in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

KVC Westerlo8 matchesRoyal Antwerp FC8 matches
2.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.5 goals/match
2.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/82.5 goals/match
1.57 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.32 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots8/814.9 shots/match
5.38 shots/matchShots on target8/85.13 shots/match
50.8% ●Possession8/848%
3.5 corners/matchCorners8/8● 4.75 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls8/814.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKVC WesterloRoyal Antwerp FC
CompetitionBelgian Pro League
Head-to-headKVC Westerlo — Royal Antwerp FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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