PitchMath
Belgian Pro League · 2026

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1–1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise and Oud-Heverlee Leuven drew 1–1.

Shots
1814
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
1.291.35
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise and Oud-Heverlee Leuven drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Royale Union Saint-Gilloise – Oud-Heverlee Leuven): shots 18–14, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 1.29–1.35, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven's recent record differs from the season

weak

Oud-Heverlee Leuven's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.4 shots/match ▲ShotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise · Oud-Heverlee Leuven13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseOud-Heverlee LeuvenBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match15.4 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots14 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 18 shots, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 2 shots, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.29 xG1.35 xGRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.29 xG, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.35 xG
  • Possession63%37%Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 63%, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 37%
  • Corners9 corners4 cornersRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 9 corners, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 11 fouls, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards3 cardsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 0 cards, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3 cards
  • Passes551 passes345 passesRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 551 passes, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 345 passes
  • Pass accuracy80.8%69.3%Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 80.8%, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 69.3%
  • Shots inside box12 shots10 shotsRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 12 shots, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10 shots
  • Blocked shots8 blocks5 blocksRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 8 blocks, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves2 savesRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 0 saves, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside2 offsidesRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise 1 offside, Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 6′William BalikwishaYellow card · Oud-Heverlee Leuven
  2. 17′Davis OpokuGoal · Oud-Heverlee Leuven
  3. 42′Jamie LawrenceYellow card · Oud-Heverlee Leuven
  4. 43′Óscar GilYellow card · Oud-Heverlee Leuven
  5. Half-time
  6. 66′Davis OpokuGoal · Oud-Heverlee Leuven
  7. 90′Louis PatrisRed card · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
  8. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 56′Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 2 player changesDenzel De Roeve · Raul Florucz
  • 67′Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 2 player changesAnouar Ait El Hadj · Dylan Aquino
  • 69′Oud-Heverlee Leuven · 1 player changeBirger Verstraete
  • 72′Oud-Heverlee Leuven · 1 player changeChukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
  • 85′Oud-Heverlee Leuven · 3 player changesKyan Vaesen · Takuya Ogiwara · Ewoud Pletinckx
  • 90′Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · 1 player changeDennis Egel

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
2Draws
0Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League0–0
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League5–0
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise — Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Belgian Pro League1–0
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League1–1
Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Royale Union Saint-Gilloise · Belgian Pro League0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Royale Union Saint-Gilloise favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Oud-Heverlee Leuven in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise8 matchesOud-Heverlee Leuven8 matches
2.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.75 goals/match
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.75 goals/match
1.99 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.02 xG/match
17.4 shots/match ▲Shots8/813.3 shots/match
7.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/82.5 shots/match
51.8% ●Possession8/847.5%
5.88 corners/match ●Corners8/83.38 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls8/811.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Belgian Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRoyale Union Saint-GilloiseOud-Heverlee Leuven
CompetitionBelgian Pro League
Head-to-headRoyale Union Saint-Gilloise — Oud-Heverlee Leuven
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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