Serie B · 2023

ABC 1–2 Botafogo-SP · Serie B

ABC

LLLLD
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP won 1–2.

Shots
1612
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.870.9
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo-SP beat ABC 2–1. Recorded in this match (ABC – Botafogo-SP): shots 16–12, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.87–0.9, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

ABC have a visible home split

weak

ABC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

ABC's recent record differs from the season

weak

ABC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.5 goals/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for ABC.

7.9 days ▲Rest daysABC · Botafogo-SP8.85 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricABCBotafogo-SPBaseline
Rest days7.9 days8.85 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots12 shotsABC 16 shots, Botafogo-SP 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsABC 4 shots, Botafogo-SP 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.87 xG0.9 xGABC 1.87 xG, Botafogo-SP 0.9 xG
  • Possession68%32%ABC 68%, Botafogo-SP 32%
  • Corners10 corners4 cornersABC 10 corners, Botafogo-SP 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsABC 11 fouls, Botafogo-SP 15 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: ABC favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

ABC6 matchesBotafogo-SP6 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.17 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.06 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots6/612 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 3.83 shots/match
47.2% ●Possession6/642.3%
4.83 corners/matchCorners6/6● 6.5 corners/match
16.2 fouls/matchFouls6/615.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 15 May 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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