Serie B · 2023

Sampaio Correa 1–0 ABC · Serie B

1–0Historical match

ABC

LLLDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sampaio Correa won 1–0.

Shots
135
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
0.520.17
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sampaio Corrêa beat ABC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Sampaio Corrêa – ABC): shots 13–5, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 0.52–0.17, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

ABC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

ABC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.43 goals/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

ABC have a visible away split

weak

ABC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.75 shots/match10.7 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

ABC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

ABC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsSampaio Corrêa · ABC10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSampaio CorrêaABCBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match10.7 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match14 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots5 shotsSampaio Correa 13 shots, ABC 5 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotSampaio Correa 2 shots, ABC 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.52 xG0.17 xGSampaio Correa 0.52 xG, ABC 0.17 xG
  • Possession50%50%Sampaio Correa 50%, ABC 50%
  • Corners6 corners0 cornersSampaio Correa 6 corners, ABC 0 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls18 foulsSampaio Correa 21 fouls, ABC 18 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sampaio Correa favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · ABC in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sampaio Correa7 matchesABC7 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored7/70.43 goals/match
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.86 goals/match
1.58 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.93 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots7/710.7 shots/match
4.43 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73.14 shots/match
51% ●Possession7/747.6%
3.29 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4.14 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls7/716.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 May 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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