PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Mirassol 1–1 Ceará · Serie B

1–1Historical match

Ceará

LDDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Mirassol and Ceará drew 1–1.

Shots
155
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
0.760.79
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Mirassol and Ceará drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Mirassol – Ceará): shots 15–5, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 0.76–0.79, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Mirassol have a visible home split

moderate

Mirassol's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Ceará's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ceará's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.18 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots5 shotsMirassol 15 shots, Ceará 5 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotMirassol 8 shots, Ceará 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.76 xG0.79 xGMirassol 0.76 xG, Ceará 0.79 xG
  • Possession66%34%Mirassol 66%, Ceará 34%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersMirassol 6 corners, Ceará 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls19 foulsMirassol 15 fouls, Ceará 19 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mirassol favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mirassol17 matchesCeará17 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.18 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.18 goals/match
1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/171.31 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots16/1713.1 shots/match
5.19 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/174.12 shots/match
58.6% ●Possession16/1753.5%
5.13 corners/matchCorners16/17● 5.24 corners/match
17.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1716.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Jul 2023, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMirassolCeará
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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