PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Londrina 1–2 Botafogo-SP · Serie B

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP won 1–2.

Shots
1117
Shots on target
13
Expected goals
0.130.73
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo-SP beat Londrina 2–1. Recorded in this match (Londrina – Botafogo-SP): shots 11–17, shots on target 1–3, expected goals 0.13–0.73, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo-SP's recent record differs from the season

weak

Botafogo-SP's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.83 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Botafogo-SP have a visible away split

moderate

Botafogo-SP's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots17 shotsLondrina 11 shots, Botafogo-SP 17 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot3 shotsLondrina 1 shot, Botafogo-SP 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.13 xG0.73 xGLondrina 0.13 xG, Botafogo-SP 0.73 xG
  • Possession58%42%Londrina 58%, Botafogo-SP 42%
  • Corners5 corners11 cornersLondrina 5 corners, Botafogo-SP 11 corners
  • Fouls23 fouls18 foulsLondrina 23 fouls, Botafogo-SP 18 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Londrina favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Londrina19 matchesBotafogo-SP18 matches
0.89 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/180.83 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed19/18▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.11 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/180.96 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 13.1 shots/match
2.89 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 3.56 shots/match
45.9% ●Possession18/1845.1%
5.5 corners/matchCorners18/18● 6.94 corners/match
17.6 fouls/matchFouls18/1814.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 25 Jul 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLondrinaBotafogo-SP
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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