PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Botafogo-SP 0–2 Juventude · Serie B

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventude won 0–2.

Shots
218
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.580.7
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventude beat Botafogo-SP 2–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo-SP – Juventude): shots 21–8, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.58–0.7, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo-SP's recent record differs from the season

weak

Botafogo-SP's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Botafogo-SP have a visible home split

moderate

Botafogo-SP's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots8 shotsBotafogo-SP 21 shots, Juventude 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsBotafogo-SP 6 shots, Juventude 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.58 xG0.7 xGBotafogo-SP 1.58 xG, Juventude 0.7 xG
  • Possession55%45%Botafogo-SP 55%, Juventude 45%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersBotafogo-SP 8 corners, Juventude 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls12 foulsBotafogo-SP 9 fouls, Juventude 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Botafogo-SP
0Draws
0Juventude
Juventude — Botafogo-SP · Serie B1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Juventude in 7 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP19 matchesJuventude20 matches
0.79 goals/matchGoals scored19/20▲ 1.15 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed19/20▲ 0.9 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 1.31 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots19/1913.4 shots/match
3.68 shots/matchShots on target19/19▲ 4.05 shots/match
45.6%Possession19/19● 52.7%
7 corners/match ●Corners19/194.84 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls19/1915.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Jul 2023, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogo-SPJuventude
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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