PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Londrina 2–2 Ituano · Serie B

2–2Historical match

Ituano

DWWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Londrina and Ituano drew 2–2.

Shots
2012
Shots on target
103
Expected goals
2.041.09
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Londrina and Ituano drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Londrina – Ituano): shots 20–12, shots on target 10–3, expected goals 2.04–1.09, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ituano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ituano's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots12 shotsLondrina 20 shots, Ituano 12 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots3 shotsLondrina 10 shots, Ituano 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.04 xG1.09 xGLondrina 2.04 xG, Ituano 1.09 xG
  • Possession44%56%Londrina 44%, Ituano 56%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersLondrina 7 corners, Ituano 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls17 foulsLondrina 11 fouls, Ituano 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Londrina
0Draws
1Ituano
Ituano — Londrina · Serie B3–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Londrina favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Ituano in 4 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Londrina28 matchesItuano28 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.04 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.11 goals/match
1.14 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/270.99 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots27/2712.8 shots/match
3.41 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 3.74 shots/match
46.8%Possession27/27● 51.2%
6.3 corners/match ●Corners27/275.11 corners/match
17.3 fouls/matchFouls27/2717.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 15 Sept 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLondrinaItuano
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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