PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Vitória 1–0 Tombense · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória won 1–0.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
0.890.47
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vitória beat Tombense 1–0. Recorded in this match (Vitória – Tombense): shots 13–11, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 0.89–0.47, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Tombense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Tombense's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vitória have a visible home split

moderate

Vitória's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsVitória 13 shots, Tombense 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsVitória 5 shots, Tombense 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.89 xG0.47 xGVitória 0.89 xG, Tombense 0.47 xG
  • Possession52%48%Vitória 52%, Tombense 48%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersVitória 7 corners, Tombense 2 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls13 foulsVitória 21 fouls, Tombense 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Vitória
0Draws
0Tombense
Tombense — Vitória · Serie B1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Tombense in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória30 matchesTombense30 matches
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301 goal/match
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.4 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals29/291.31 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots29/29▲ 14.3 shots/match
3.69 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲ 4.28 shots/match
50.3%Possession29/29● 51.2%
5 corners/matchCorners29/29● 5.72 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls29/2912.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Sept 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVitóriaTombense
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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