Serie B · 2023

ABC 1–2 Mirassol · Serie B

ABC

LLLWD
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Mirassol won 1–2.

Shots
1811
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
1.630.79
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Mirassol beat ABC 2–1. Recorded in this match (ABC – Mirassol): shots 18–11, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 1.63–0.79, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Mirassol's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mirassol's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

ABC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

ABC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsABC · Mirassol13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricABCMirassolBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against14.2 shots/match10.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

ABC have a visible home split

moderate

ABC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match10.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots11 shotsABC 18 shots, Mirassol 11 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsABC 8 shots, Mirassol 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.63 xG0.79 xGABC 1.63 xG, Mirassol 0.79 xG
  • Possession51%49%ABC 51%, Mirassol 49%
  • Corners9 corners0 cornersABC 9 corners, Mirassol 0 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsABC 13 fouls, Mirassol 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0ABC
0Draws
1Mirassol
Mirassol — ABC · Serie B3–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: ABC favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Mirassol in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

ABC32 matchesMirassol32 matches
0.63 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.09 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 0.84 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 1.43 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 13.7 shots/match
3.32 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 4.48 shots/match
47.5%Possession31/31● 56.8%
4.71 corners/match ●Corners31/314.55 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls31/3116.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 11 Oct 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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