Serie B · 2023

Botafogo-SP 2–0 Novorizontino · Serie B

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP won 2–0.

Shots
822
Shots on target
39
Expected goals
0.492.1
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo-SP beat Novorizontino 2–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo-SP – Novorizontino): shots 8–22, shots on target 3–9, expected goals 0.49–2.1, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Novorizontino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Novorizontino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.03 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Botafogo-SP show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Botafogo-SP's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.1 shots/match ▲ShotsBotafogo-SP · Novorizontino17.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBotafogo-SPNovorizontinoBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match17.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against12.9 shots/match10.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Botafogo-SP have a visible home split

moderate

Botafogo-SP's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots22 shotsBotafogo-SP 8 shots, Novorizontino 22 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots9 shotsBotafogo-SP 3 shots, Novorizontino 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.49 xG2.1 xGBotafogo-SP 0.49 xG, Novorizontino 2.1 xG
  • Possession37%63%Botafogo-SP 37%, Novorizontino 63%
  • Corners1 corner13 cornersBotafogo-SP 1 corner, Novorizontino 13 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsBotafogo-SP 12 fouls, Novorizontino 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Botafogo-SP
0Draws
0Novorizontino
Novorizontino — Botafogo-SP · Serie B0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Novorizontino in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP33 matchesNovorizontino33 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.03 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 0.79 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲ 1.7 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots33/33▲ 17.2 shots/match
3.21 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 5.09 shots/match
44.2%Possession33/33● 49%
5.33 corners/matchCorners33/33● 6.39 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls33/3317.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Oct 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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