PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

ABC 1–1 Avaí · Serie B

ABC

LWDLL
1–1Historical match

Avaí

LDWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

ABC and Avaí drew 1–1.

Shots
1220
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
2.450.71
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

ABC and Avaí drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (ABC – Avaí): shots 12–20, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 2.45–0.71, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

ABC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

ABC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.65 goals/match1.03 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots20 shotsABC 12 shots, Avaí 20 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsABC 8 shots, Avaí 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.45 xG0.71 xGABC 2.45 xG, Avaí 0.71 xG
  • Possession40%60%ABC 40%, Avaí 60%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersABC 4 corners, Avaí 9 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls20 foulsABC 19 fouls, Avaí 20 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1ABC
0Draws
0Avaí
Avaí — ABC · Serie B0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: ABC favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Avaí in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

ABC34 matchesAvaí34 matches
0.65 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 0.85 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲ 1.26 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals33/331.03 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots33/33▲ 11.6 shots/match
3.42 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/333.24 shots/match
47.2%Possession33/33● 50%
4.64 corners/matchCorners33/33● 4.85 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls33/3315.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 27 Oct 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsABCAvaí
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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