PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Criciúma 3–0 Sampaio Correa · Serie B

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Criciúma won 3–0.

Shots
1014
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
1.450.75
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Criciúma beat Sampaio Corrêa 3–0. Recorded in this match (Criciúma – Sampaio Corrêa): shots 10–14, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 1.45–0.75, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sampaio Corrêa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sampaio Corrêa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.71 goals/match1.01 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sampaio Corrêa have a visible away split

moderate

Sampaio Corrêa's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.81 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.81 shots/match13 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots14 shotsCriciúma 10 shots, Sampaio Correa 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsCriciúma 4 shots, Sampaio Correa 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.45 xG0.75 xGCriciúma 1.45 xG, Sampaio Correa 0.75 xG
  • Possession53%47%Criciúma 53%, Sampaio Correa 47%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersCriciúma 2 corners, Sampaio Correa 7 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls17 foulsCriciúma 19 fouls, Sampaio Correa 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Criciúma
0Draws
0Sampaio Correa
Sampaio Correa — Criciúma · Serie B0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Criciúma favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Sampaio Correa in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Criciúma34 matchesSampaio Correa34 matches
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/340.71 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.03 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals33/321.06 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots33/3213 shots/match
4.27 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/323.13 shots/match
49.3%Possession33/32● 49.8%
4.82 corners/match ●Corners33/324.59 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls33/3215.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Oct 2023, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCriciúmaSampaio Correa
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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