PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Ituano 2–1 Sampaio Correa · Serie B

Ituano

LDDDL
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ituano won 2–1.

Shots
89
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
0.570.67
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ituano beat Sampaio Corrêa 2–1. Recorded in this match (Ituano – Sampaio Corrêa): shots 8–9, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 0.57–0.67, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sampaio Corrêa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sampaio Corrêa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.72 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.72 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Sampaio Corrêa have a visible away split

moderate

Sampaio Corrêa's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.76 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.76 shots/match12.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots9 shotsItuano 8 shots, Sampaio Correa 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsItuano 4 shots, Sampaio Correa 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.57 xG0.67 xGItuano 0.57 xG, Sampaio Correa 0.67 xG
  • Possession35%65%Ituano 35%, Sampaio Correa 65%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersItuano 2 corners, Sampaio Correa 4 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls12 foulsItuano 22 fouls, Sampaio Correa 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ituano
1Draws
0Sampaio Correa
Sampaio Correa — Ituano · Serie B0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ituano favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Sampaio Correa in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ituano36 matchesSampaio Correa36 matches
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals scored36/360.72 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed36/361.08 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals35/34▲ 1.04 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots35/3412.9 shots/match
3.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target35/343.12 shots/match
50.4% ●Possession35/3449.9%
5.43 corners/match ●Corners35/344.53 corners/match
17.6 fouls/matchFouls35/3415.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Nov 2023, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsItuanoSampaio Correa
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required