PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Ceará 2–0 Mirassol · Serie B

Ceará

LDLWD
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 2–0.

Shots
1517
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
2.221.09
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceará beat Mirassol 2–0. Recorded in this match (Ceará – Mirassol): shots 15–17, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 2.22–1.09, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Mirassol's recent record differs from the season

weak

Mirassol's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.03 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.03 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ceará have a visible home split

moderate

Ceará's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots17 shotsCeará 15 shots, Mirassol 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsCeará 5 shots, Mirassol 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.22 xG1.09 xGCeará 2.22 xG, Mirassol 1.09 xG
  • Possession46%54%Ceará 46%, Mirassol 54%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersCeará 5 corners, Mirassol 2 corners
  • Fouls25 fouls23 foulsCeará 25 fouls, Mirassol 23 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ceará
1Draws
0Mirassol
Mirassol — Ceará · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Mirassol in 6 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará36 matchesMirassol36 matches
1.06 goals/matchGoals scored36/361.03 goals/match
1.08 goals/matchGoals allowed36/36▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals36/35▲ 1.4 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots36/3513.7 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target36/354.2 shots/match
52.8%Possession36/35● 56.3%
5.53 corners/match ●Corners36/354.37 corners/match
16.7 fouls/matchFouls36/3516.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Nov 2023, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáMirassol
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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