PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Guarani 1–1 Criciúma · Serie B

Guarani

DLDLD
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Guarani and Criciúma drew 1–1.

Shots
176
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
0.930.37
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Guarani and Criciúma drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Guarani – Criciúma): shots 17–6, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 0.93–0.37, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Guarani's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Guarani's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Criciúma have a visible away split

moderate

Criciúma's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots6 shotsGuarani 17 shots, Criciúma 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsGuarani 5 shots, Criciúma 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.93 xG0.37 xGGuarani 0.93 xG, Criciúma 0.37 xG
  • Possession70%30%Guarani 70%, Criciúma 30%
  • Corners14 corners3 cornersGuarani 14 corners, Criciúma 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsGuarani 10 fouls, Criciúma 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Guarani
1Draws
0Criciúma
Criciúma — Guarani · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Guarani favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Criciúma in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Guarani36 matchesCriciúma36 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored36/361.17 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed36/360.86 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals35/351.09 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots35/35▲ 13.1 shots/match
3.69 shots/matchShots on target35/35▲ 4.34 shots/match
49.9% ●Possession35/3548.8%
5.2 corners/match ●Corners35/354.8 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls35/3514.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 15 Nov 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGuaraniCriciúma
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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