PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Ponte Preta 1–0 Novorizontino · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ponte Preta won 1–0.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
0.710.28
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ponte Preta beat Novorizontino 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ponte Preta – Novorizontino): shots 16–10, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 0.71–0.28, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Novorizontino's recent record differs from the season

weak

Novorizontino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsPonte Preta 16 shots, Novorizontino 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsPonte Preta 4 shots, Novorizontino 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.71 xG0.28 xGPonte Preta 0.71 xG, Novorizontino 0.28 xG
  • Possession59%41%Ponte Preta 59%, Novorizontino 41%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersPonte Preta 4 corners, Novorizontino 3 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls13 foulsPonte Preta 21 fouls, Novorizontino 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ponte Preta
0Draws
1Novorizontino
Novorizontino — Ponte Preta · Serie B2–0
Ponte Preta — Novorizontino · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ponte Preta favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Novorizontino in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ponte Preta10 matchesNovorizontino10 matches
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101 goal/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.1 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.31 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 15 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 4.5 shots/match
46.7% ●Possession10/1045.3%
4.8 corners/match ●Corners10/104.7 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1016.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Jun 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPonte PretaNovorizontino
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headPonte Preta — Novorizontino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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