Serie B · 2024

CRB 1–0 Guarani · Serie B

CRB

LWLLD
1–0Historical match

Guarani

DLLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CRB won 1–0.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
0.920.87
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB beat Guarani 1–0. Recorded in this match (CRB – Guarani): shots 15–12, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 0.92–0.87, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Guarani's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Guarani's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.75 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for CRB, Guarani.

3.81 days ▲Rest daysCRB · Guarani3.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCRBGuaraniBaseline
Rest days3.81 days3.92 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

CRB have a visible home split

weak

CRB's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.8 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsCRB 15 shots, Guarani 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotCRB 7 shots, Guarani 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.92 xG0.87 xGCRB 0.92 xG, Guarani 0.87 xG
  • Possession49%51%CRB 49%, Guarani 51%
  • Corners4 corners10 cornersCRB 4 corners, Guarani 10 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls13 foulsCRB 17 fouls, Guarani 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2CRB
0Draws
0Guarani
CRB — Guarani · Serie B1–0
Guarani — CRB · Serie B0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CRB favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Guarani in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CRB10 matchesGuarani12 matches
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/120.75 goals/match
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/121.75 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/121.15 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots10/12▲ 15.2 shots/match
4.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/124.25 shots/match
52.4%Possession10/12● 54.4%
3.9 corners/matchCorners10/12● 7.17 corners/match
15.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1214.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Jun 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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