Serie B · 2024

Operário-PR 0–1 Botafogo-SP · Serie B

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP won 0–1.

Shots
175
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.050.56
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo-SP beat Operário-PR 1–0. Recorded in this match (Operário-PR – Botafogo-SP): shots 17–5, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.05–0.56, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo-SP's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo-SP's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.73 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Operário-PR, Botafogo-SP.

4.83 days ▲Rest daysOperário-PR · Botafogo-SP2.83 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricOperário-PRBotafogo-SPBaseline
Rest days4.83 days2.83 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Operário-PR have recorded the higher season possession share.

55% ●PossessionOperário-PR · Botafogo-SP46.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOperário-PRBotafogo-SPBaseline
Possession55%46.1%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots5 shotsOperário-PR 17 shots, Botafogo-SP 5 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsOperário-PR 3 shots, Botafogo-SP 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.05 xG0.56 xGOperário-PR 1.05 xG, Botafogo-SP 0.56 xG
  • Possession67%33%Operário-PR 67%, Botafogo-SP 33%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersOperário-PR 8 corners, Botafogo-SP 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsOperário-PR 8 fouls, Botafogo-SP 10 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Operário-PR favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Operário-PR12 matchesBotafogo-SP11 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored12/11▲ 0.73 goals/match
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/110.91 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals12/110.98 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots12/1112.3 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target12/113.91 shots/match
55% ●Possession12/1146.1%
5.08 corners/match ●Corners12/115 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1114.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Jun 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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