PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Novorizontino 1–1 Mirassol · Serie B

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Novorizontino and Mirassol drew 1–1.

Shots
714
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.761.02
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Novorizontino and Mirassol drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Novorizontino – Mirassol): shots 7–14, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.76–1.02, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Mirassol's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mirassol's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots14 shotsNovorizontino 7 shots, Mirassol 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsNovorizontino 4 shots, Mirassol 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.76 xG1.02 xGNovorizontino 0.76 xG, Mirassol 1.02 xG
  • Possession38%62%Novorizontino 38%, Mirassol 62%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersNovorizontino 2 corners, Mirassol 6 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls13 foulsNovorizontino 22 fouls, Mirassol 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Novorizontino
0Draws
0Mirassol
Novorizontino — Mirassol · Serie B2–1
Mirassol — Novorizontino · Serie B0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Novorizontino favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Mirassol in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Novorizontino13 matchesMirassol13 matches
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131 goal/match
1.08 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 0.77 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.42 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots13/1312 shots/match
4.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.62 shots/match
43.8%Possession13/13● 50.6%
4.38 corners/matchCorners13/13● 5.15 corners/match
17.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 3 Jul 2024, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNovorizontinoMirassol
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headNovorizontino — Mirassol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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