PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Mirassol 1–0 CRB · Serie B

1–0Historical match

CRB

LLDWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Mirassol won 1–0.

Shots
107
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.660.51
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Mirassol beat CRB 1–0. Recorded in this match (Mirassol – CRB): shots 10–7, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.66–0.51, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Mirassol's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mirassol's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CRB have a visible away split

moderate

CRB's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots7 shotsMirassol 10 shots, CRB 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsMirassol 3 shots, CRB 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.66 xG0.51 xGMirassol 0.66 xG, CRB 0.51 xG
  • Possession52%48%Mirassol 52%, CRB 48%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersMirassol 3 corners, CRB 4 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls12 foulsMirassol 17 fouls, CRB 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Mirassol
0Draws
1CRB
Mirassol — CRB · Serie B1–0
CRB — Mirassol · Serie B2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mirassol favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · CRB in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mirassol14 matchesCRB12 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored14/12▲ 1.08 goals/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/121.25 goals/match
1.37 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/121.28 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots14/12▲ 13.3 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target14/12▲ 4.33 shots/match
50.7%Possession14/12● 52.8%
5 corners/match ●Corners14/123.92 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1215.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 10 Jul 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMirassolCRB
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headMirassol — CRB
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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