Serie B · 2024

Ponte Preta 4–2 Mirassol · Serie B

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ponte Preta won 4–2.

Shots
2015
Shots on target
114
Expected goals
2.761.76
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ponte Preta beat Mirassol 4–2. Recorded in this match (Ponte Preta – Mirassol): shots 20–15, shots on target 11–4, expected goals 2.76–1.76, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Mirassol.

6.92 days ▲Rest daysPonte Preta · Mirassol2.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPonte PretaMirassolBaseline
Rest days6.92 days2.92 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Ponte Preta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots15 shotsPonte Preta 20 shots, Mirassol 15 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots4 shotsPonte Preta 11 shots, Mirassol 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.76 xG1.76 xGPonte Preta 2.76 xG, Mirassol 1.76 xG
  • Possession52%48%Ponte Preta 52%, Mirassol 48%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersPonte Preta 6 corners, Mirassol 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls6 foulsPonte Preta 15 fouls, Mirassol 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ponte Preta
0Draws
2Mirassol
Ponte Preta — Mirassol · Serie B0–3
Mirassol — Ponte Preta · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ponte Preta favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Mirassol in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ponte Preta15 matchesMirassol15 matches
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/151.07 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 0.93 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.4 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots15/1512.1 shots/match
4.53 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/153.6 shots/match
47.8%Possession15/15● 50.5%
4.67 corners/matchCorners15/15● 4.87 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Jul 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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