PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Coritiba 1–1 Paysandu · Serie B

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Coritiba and Paysandu drew 1–1.

Shots
139
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.51.27
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Coritiba and Paysandu SC drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Coritiba – Paysandu SC): shots 13–9, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.5–1.27, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paysandu SC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Paysandu SC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.93 corners/match ●CornersCoritiba · Paysandu SC5.64 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricCoritibaPaysandu SCBaseline
Corners5.93 corners/match5.64 corners/match5.04 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots9 shotsCoritiba 13 shots, Paysandu 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsCoritiba 4 shots, Paysandu 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.5 xG1.27 xGCoritiba 1.5 xG, Paysandu 1.27 xG
  • Possession50%50%Coritiba 50%, Paysandu 50%
  • Corners8 corners7 cornersCoritiba 8 corners, Paysandu 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsCoritiba 12 fouls, Paysandu 14 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coritiba favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Paysandu in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coritiba14 matchesPaysandu14 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.14 goals/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.07 goals/match
1.27 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.13 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots14/1411.4 shots/match
5.21 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/143.93 shots/match
48.4%Possession14/14● 52.8%
5.93 corners/match ●Corners14/145.64 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1416.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Jul 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCoritibaPaysandu
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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