PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Sport Recife 1–1 América Mineiro · Serie B

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sport Recife and América Mineiro drew 1–1.

Shots
149
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.851.21
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sport Recife and América Mineiro drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Sport Recife – América Mineiro): shots 14–9, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.85–1.21, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sport Recife's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

América Mineiro have a visible away split

moderate

América Mineiro's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match14.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots9 shotsSport Recife 14 shots, América Mineiro 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsSport Recife 4 shots, América Mineiro 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.85 xG1.21 xGSport Recife 1.85 xG, América Mineiro 1.21 xG
  • Possession61%39%Sport Recife 61%, América Mineiro 39%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersSport Recife 9 corners, América Mineiro 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls14 foulsSport Recife 16 fouls, América Mineiro 14 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sport Recife favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · América Mineiro in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sport Recife14 matchesAmérica Mineiro15 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored14/15▲ 1.4 goals/match
0.93 goals/matchGoals allowed14/150.93 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals14/15▲ 1.49 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots14/1514.5 shots/match
3.64 shots/matchShots on target14/15▲ 4.2 shots/match
57.8% ●Possession14/1556.1%
6.79 corners/match ●Corners14/154.8 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1513.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Jul 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSport RecifeAmérica Mineiro
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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