PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Botafogo-SP 1–1 Paysandu · Serie B

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP and Paysandu drew 1–1.

Shots
88
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.830.51
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo-SP and Paysandu SC drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Botafogo-SP – Paysandu SC): shots 8–8, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.83–0.51, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paysandu SC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Paysandu SC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots8 shotsBotafogo-SP 8 shots, Paysandu 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsBotafogo-SP 3 shots, Paysandu 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG0.51 xGBotafogo-SP 0.83 xG, Paysandu 0.51 xG
  • Possession50%50%Botafogo-SP 50%, Paysandu 50%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersBotafogo-SP 4 corners, Paysandu 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls26 foulsBotafogo-SP 16 fouls, Paysandu 26 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Botafogo-SP
1Draws
0Paysandu
Paysandu — Botafogo-SP · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Paysandu in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP21 matchesPaysandu21 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.1 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals20/211.08 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 12.3 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 4.1 shots/match
46.8%Possession21/21● 54.8%
5.19 corners/matchCorners21/21● 6.29 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls21/2116.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 19 Aug 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogo-SPPaysandu
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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