PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

CRB 0–1 Ponte Preta · Serie B

CRB

DLLDL
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ponte Preta won 0–1.

Shots
198
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.241.25
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ponte Preta beat CRB 1–0. Recorded in this match (CRB – Ponte Preta): shots 19–8, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.24–1.25, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CRB's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CRB's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.89 goals/match1.02 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CRB have a visible home split

moderate

CRB's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots8 shotsCRB 19 shots, Ponte Preta 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsCRB 4 shots, Ponte Preta 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.24 xG1.25 xGCRB 1.24 xG, Ponte Preta 1.25 xG
  • Possession64%36%CRB 64%, Ponte Preta 36%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersCRB 2 corners, Ponte Preta 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls19 foulsCRB 11 fouls, Ponte Preta 19 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1CRB
0Draws
2Ponte Preta
Ponte Preta — CRB · Serie B4–2
Ponte Preta — CRB · Serie B3–0
CRB — Ponte Preta · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CRB favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Ponte Preta in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CRB27 matchesPonte Preta27 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.11 goals/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.33 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals25/27▲ 1.16 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots27/2712.4 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 4.22 shots/match
54.3% ●Possession27/2746.8%
4.33 corners/match ●Corners27/274.07 corners/match
16.1 fouls/matchFouls27/2715.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 20 Sept 2024, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCRBPonte Preta
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headCRB — Ponte Preta
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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