PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Botafogo-SP 0–1 Santos · Serie B

0–1Historical match

Santos

DDDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Santos won 0–1.

Shots
1611
Shots on target
13
Expected goals
0.820.81
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santos beat Botafogo-SP 1–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo-SP – Santos): shots 16–11, shots on target 1–3, expected goals 0.82–0.81, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Santos have a visible away split

moderate

Santos's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match15.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Santos's recent record differs from the season

weak

Santos's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.02 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots11 shotsBotafogo-SP 16 shots, Santos 11 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot3 shotsBotafogo-SP 1 shot, Santos 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.82 xG0.81 xGBotafogo-SP 0.82 xG, Santos 0.81 xG
  • Possession43%57%Botafogo-SP 43%, Santos 57%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersBotafogo-SP 4 corners, Santos 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsBotafogo-SP 12 fouls, Santos 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Botafogo-SP
0Draws
0Santos
Santos — Botafogo-SP · Serie B1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Santos in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP26 matchesSantos27 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored26/27▲ 1.48 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed26/27▲ 0.7 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals25/27▲ 1.4 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots26/27▲ 15.3 shots/match
3.58 shots/matchShots on target26/27▲ 5.26 shots/match
47.3%Possession26/27● 54.1%
5.42 corners/matchCorners26/27● 5.67 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls26/2711.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 20 Sept 2024, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogo-SPSantos
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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