Serie B · 2024

Ceará 1–0 Brusque · Serie B

Ceará

DWLLW
1–0Historical match

Brusque

DLWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 1–0.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
1.840.73
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceará beat Brusque 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ceará – Brusque): shots 16–10, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 1.84–0.73, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ceará, Brusque.

5.02 days ▲Rest daysCeará · Brusque3.9 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCearáBrusqueBaseline
Rest days5.02 days3.9 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Ceará show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Ceará's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsCeará · Brusque11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCearáBrusqueBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match14.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Brusque's recent record differs from the season

weak

Brusque's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.69 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.69 goals/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsCeará 16 shots, Brusque 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsCeará 2 shots, Brusque 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.84 xG0.73 xGCeará 1.84 xG, Brusque 0.73 xG
  • Possession55%45%Ceará 55%, Brusque 45%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersCeará 9 corners, Brusque 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsCeará 13 fouls, Brusque 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ceará
0Draws
1Brusque
Brusque — Ceará · Serie B1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Brusque in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará29 matchesBrusque29 matches
1.59 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/290.69 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/291.01 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots29/2911.3 shots/match
4.72 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/293.34 shots/match
49% ●Possession29/2946.9%
6.97 corners/match ●Corners29/294.03 corners/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls29/2914 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Sept 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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