Serie B · 2024

Ceará 4–0 Vila Nova FC · Serie B

Ceará

WDWLL
4–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 4–0.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.520.72
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceará beat Vila Nova FC 4–0. Recorded in this match (Ceará – Vila Nova FC): shots 13–13, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.52–0.72, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ceará, Vila Nova FC.

3.88 days ▲Rest daysCeará · Vila Nova FC3.96 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCearáVila Nova FCBaseline
Rest days3.88 days3.96 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Vila Nova FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Vila Nova FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.18 goals/match1.02 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ceará show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Ceará's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsCeará · Vila Nova FC11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCearáVila Nova FCBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shotsCeará 13 shots, Vila Nova FC 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsCeará 6 shots, Vila Nova FC 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.52 xG0.72 xGCeará 1.52 xG, Vila Nova FC 0.72 xG
  • Possession46%54%Ceará 46%, Vila Nova FC 54%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersCeará 6 corners, Vila Nova FC 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls7 foulsCeará 8 fouls, Vila Nova FC 7 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ceará
0Draws
2Vila Nova FC
Vila Nova FC — Ceará · Serie B3–2
Vila Nova FC — Ceará · Serie B3–1
Ceará — Vila Nova FC · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará28 matchesVila Nova FC28 matches
1.61 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281.18 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed28/281.29 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.1 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots28/2811.8 shots/match
4.82 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/283.82 shots/match
48.8%Possession28/28● 50.5%
6.89 corners/match ●Corners28/284.61 corners/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls28/2813.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 23 Sept 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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