PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

América Mineiro 2–1 Coritiba · Serie B

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

América Mineiro won 2–1.

Shots
186
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
2.060.96
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

América Mineiro beat Coritiba 2–1. Recorded in this match (América Mineiro – Coritiba): shots 18–6, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 2.06–0.96, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

América Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

América Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.27 goals/match0.97 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

América Mineiro have a visible home split

moderate

América Mineiro's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.1 shots/match14 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots6 shotsAmérica Mineiro 18 shots, Coritiba 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotAmérica Mineiro 6 shots, Coritiba 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.06 xG0.96 xGAmérica Mineiro 2.06 xG, Coritiba 0.96 xG
  • Possession57%43%América Mineiro 57%, Coritiba 43%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersAmérica Mineiro 8 corners, Coritiba 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsAmérica Mineiro 12 fouls, Coritiba 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1América Mineiro
0Draws
4Coritiba
Coritiba — América Mineiro · Serie B1–0
América Mineiro — Coritiba · Serie A0–3
Coritiba — América Mineiro · Serie A3–1
América Mineiro — Coritiba · Serie A2–0
Coritiba — América Mineiro · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América Mineiro favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Coritiba in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América Mineiro30 matchesCoritiba30 matches
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/300.97 goals/match
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/300.97 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/301.16 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots30/3013.8 shots/match
4.23 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 4.67 shots/match
55.6% ●Possession30/3049.3%
5.13 corners/matchCorners30/30● 5.7 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls30/3014.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Oct 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica MineiroCoritiba
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headAmérica Mineiro — Coritiba
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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