Serie B · 2024

CRB 3–2 Paysandu · Serie B

CRB

DLLDW
3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CRB won 3–2.

Shots
218
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
1.210.89
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB beat Paysandu SC 3–2. Recorded in this match (CRB – Paysandu SC): shots 21–8, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 1.21–0.89, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paysandu SC have a visible away split

moderate

Paysandu SC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match13 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

CRB's recent record differs from the season

weak

CRB's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

16.5 fouls/matchFoulsCRB · Paysandu SC15.2 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricCRBPaysandu SCBaseline
Fouls16.5 fouls/match15.2 fouls/match13.7 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots8 shotsCRB 21 shots, Paysandu 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsCRB 7 shots, Paysandu 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.21 xG0.89 xGCRB 1.21 xG, Paysandu 0.89 xG
  • Possession48%52%CRB 48%, Paysandu 52%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersCRB 2 corners, Paysandu 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls10 foulsCRB 16 fouls, Paysandu 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0CRB
1Draws
0Paysandu
Paysandu — CRB · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CRB favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Paysandu in 2 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CRB30 matchesPaysandu30 matches
0.97 goals/matchGoals scored30/300.97 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed30/301.2 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals28/291.07 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots30/3013 shots/match
3.77 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 4.13 shots/match
54%Possession30/30● 55.6%
4.3 corners/matchCorners30/30● 6.7 corners/match
16.5 fouls/matchFouls30/3015.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Oct 2024, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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