PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Avaí 2–2 América Mineiro · Serie B

Avaí

LWLDD
2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Avaí and América Mineiro drew 2–2.

Shots
189
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
2.071.8
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Avaí and América Mineiro drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Avaí – América Mineiro): shots 18–9, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 2.07–1.8, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

América Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

América Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.29 goals/match0.98 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

América Mineiro have a visible away split

moderate

América Mineiro's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shotsAvaí 18 shots, América Mineiro 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsAvaí 3 shots, América Mineiro 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.07 xG1.8 xGAvaí 2.07 xG, América Mineiro 1.8 xG
  • Possession53%47%Avaí 53%, América Mineiro 47%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersAvaí 7 corners, América Mineiro 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls6 foulsAvaí 13 fouls, América Mineiro 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Avaí
1Draws
1América Mineiro
América Mineiro — Avaí · Serie B1–1
América Mineiro — Avaí · Serie A3–1
Avaí — América Mineiro · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Avaí favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · América Mineiro in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Avaí31 matchesAmérica Mineiro31 matches
0.81 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.29 goals/match
0.77 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/310.87 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 1.45 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 13.9 shots/match
3.23 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 4.23 shots/match
49%Possession31/31● 55.3%
5.13 corners/matchCorners31/315.13 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls31/3112 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Oct 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAvaíAmérica Mineiro
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headAvaí — América Mineiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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