PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Goiás 0–1 Vila Nova FC · Serie B

Goiás

WDLDW
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC won 0–1.

Shots
119
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
0.21.41
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vila Nova FC beat Goiás 1–0. Recorded in this match (Goiás – Vila Nova FC): shots 11–9, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 0.2–1.41, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Goiás's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Goiás's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.02 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Goiás have a visible home split

moderate

Goiás's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots9 shotsGoiás 11 shots, Vila Nova FC 9 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsGoiás 1 shot, Vila Nova FC 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.2 xG1.41 xGGoiás 0.2 xG, Vila Nova FC 1.41 xG
  • Possession69%31%Goiás 69%, Vila Nova FC 31%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersGoiás 4 corners, Vila Nova FC 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls25 foulsGoiás 15 fouls, Vila Nova FC 25 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Goiás
0Draws
1Vila Nova FC
Vila Nova FC — Goiás · Serie B1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Goiás favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Goiás30 matchesVila Nova FC31 matches
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/311.13 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed30/311.23 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/311.12 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots29/3111.4 shots/match
3.9 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/313.68 shots/match
51.1% ●Possession29/3149.6%
5.34 corners/match ●Corners29/314.45 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls29/3114.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 14 Oct 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGoiásVila Nova FC
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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