Serie B · 2024

Santos 1–0 Ceará · Serie B

Santos

DWLWL
1–0Historical match

Ceará

WWLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Santos won 1–0.

Shots
713
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.770.45
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santos beat Ceará 1–0. Recorded in this match (Santos – Ceará): shots 7–13, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.77–0.45, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ceará's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ceará's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.52 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.52 goals/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ceará.

5.96 days ▲Rest daysSantos · Ceará3.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSantosCearáBaseline
Rest days5.96 days3.08 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Santos have a visible home split

moderate

Santos's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match15.1 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots13 shotsSantos 7 shots, Ceará 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsSantos 4 shots, Ceará 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.77 xG0.45 xGSantos 0.77 xG, Ceará 0.45 xG
  • Possession39%61%Santos 39%, Ceará 61%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersSantos 5 corners, Ceará 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls15 foulsSantos 16 fouls, Ceará 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Santos
1Draws
1Ceará
Ceará — Santos · Serie B0–1
Ceará — Santos · Serie A2–1
Santos — Ceará · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Santos favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Santos33 matchesCeará33 matches
1.48 goals/matchGoals scored33/331.52 goals/match
0.85 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.18 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals32/33▲ 1.46 xG/match
15.1 shots/matchShots32/3314.9 shots/match
5.31 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/334.79 shots/match
53.1% ●Possession32/3349.4%
5.63 corners/matchCorners32/33● 6.91 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls32/3314.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 23 Oct 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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