PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Brusque 0–1 Chapecoense · Serie B

Brusque

LDWLL
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Chapecoense won 0–1.

Shots
1910
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.621.1
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Chapecoense beat Brusque 1–0. Recorded in this match (Brusque – Chapecoense): shots 19–10, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.62–1.1, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brusque's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brusque's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.65 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots10 shotsBrusque 19 shots, Chapecoense 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsBrusque 4 shots, Chapecoense 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.62 xG1.1 xGBrusque 0.62 xG, Chapecoense 1.1 xG
  • Possession66%34%Brusque 66%, Chapecoense 34%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersBrusque 6 corners, Chapecoense 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls18 foulsBrusque 16 fouls, Chapecoense 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Brusque
1Draws
0Chapecoense
Chapecoense — Brusque · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brusque favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Chapecoense in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brusque34 matchesChapecoense34 matches
0.65 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 0.91 goals/match
1.12 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.18 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals34/33▲ 1.21 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots34/34▲ 13.4 shots/match
3.35 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲ 4.26 shots/match
47.3% ●Possession34/3445.6%
4.24 corners/match ●Corners34/344.09 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls34/3413.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 30 Oct 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBrusqueChapecoense
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required