Serie B · 2024

Ceará 2–0 Avaí · Serie B

Ceará

LWWLW
2–0Historical match

Avaí

DDLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 2–0.

Shots
115
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.660.6
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceará beat Avaí 2–0. Recorded in this match (Ceará – Avaí): shots 11–5, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.66–0.6, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Avaí's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Avaí's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.03 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Avaí have a visible away split

moderate

Avaí's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match11.9 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Avaí show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Avaí's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsCeará · Avaí11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCearáAvaíBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match11.9 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots5 shotsCeará 11 shots, Avaí 5 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsCeará 5 shots, Avaí 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.66 xG0.6 xGCeará 1.66 xG, Avaí 0.6 xG
  • Possession48%52%Ceará 48%, Avaí 52%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersCeará 7 corners, Avaí 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsCeará 12 fouls, Avaí 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Ceará
1Draws
2Avaí
Avaí — Ceará · Serie B0–1
Avaí — Ceará · Serie B1–0
Ceará — Avaí · Serie B0–0
Avaí — Ceará · Serie A2–0
Ceará — Avaí · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Avaí in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará35 matchesAvaí35 matches
1.54 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/350.83 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed35/35▲ 0.86 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals35/351.15 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots35/3511.9 shots/match
4.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target35/353.23 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession35/3548.8%
6.89 corners/match ●Corners35/354.91 corners/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls35/3513.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 4 Nov 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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